Home News Which Home districts noticed the most important shifts within the 2020 presidential...

Which Home districts noticed the most important shifts within the 2020 presidential election?


The most important transfer to the left got here in Texas’ third District, which went from 55-41 Trump in 2016 to simply 50-49 Trump final 12 months—a shift of 13 factors. Situated within the prosperous suburbs north of Dallas and represented by Republican Rep. Van Taylor, Texas’ third has the best proportion of residents holding school levels of any district nonetheless held by the GOP, with 54% of adults having graduated from school. Taylor nonetheless managed to run nicely forward of the highest of the ticket, although, defeating Democrat Lulu Seikaly 55-43.

The most important drift in the wrong way, in the meantime, was in Florida’s twenty sixth District within the Miami space, which lurched from 57-41 Clinton to 53-47 Trump in 2020 for a mammoth swing of twenty-two factors. That shift additionally helped Republican Rep. Carlos Giménez flip the seat from Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who herself had simply ousted a Republican incumbent within the 2018 blue wave. The twenty sixth has a big Cuban-American inhabitants, which has historically supported the GOP in nice numbers, and can be house to many with ancestry from elsewhere in Latin America.

Along with the normal map above, we now have additionally created a cartogram beneath that reveals each district as the identical dimension in order that dense city districts aren’t obscured and rural districts aren’t over-emphasized (with a larger version here):

The 2 charts beneath, in the meantime, inform us who truly represents every of those districts, together with the outcomes of the 2020 Home election, the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, and a comparability of the 2020 Home and presidential ends in every district. The primary model beneath reveals the districts that moved the furthest to the left (a larger version is here):

The second chart beneath reveals the districts that shifted probably the most to the appropriate (a larger version is here):

You will discover the election outcomes for Home and president for each district in our 117th Congress guide spreadsheet, together with a complete host of different demographic statistics on each the districts and the members who signify them.